E E K E AN D C U L T U R E , T R A V E L A N D 0 T H E R G 0 0 D N E WS Airs Apparent N E W S W E E K 54 A p R は . 0 7 , 2 017 Sustainable but beautiful—what S udio Swine is doing for design
P E G Y P T S 0 U T H S U D A N A G H E A L T H C A R E IRAQ S Y R 工 A DON'T CROSS THE NERDS Of numbers crunchers war against an obscure group Why the White House is waging THE THREE most boring words in the English language might be co れ豆 0 4 わリ畩 and 0 , although some have argued for the phrase worthwhile Canadian initiative. ” Despite its somnolent name, the Congressional Budget Offce is in the middle ofa rancorous debate over President Donald Trump s attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare. The CBO, an independent, bipartisan arm of Congress filled with econo- mists and Other wonks, analyzes legislation, esti- mating how much a law might cost the federal government and the people affected by it. ln the case Of the American Health Care Act, or "Trumpcare, as S01 れ e are now calling 1 ら the CBO came tO S01 れ e stunning conclusions. Far from fulfilling Trump s promise to cover everyone—and at less Of a cost—it found that 24 million 1 れ ore Americans would be uninsured by 2026 th an if the country h ad stuck with Obamacare. prices would soar for older Ameri- cans, wh0 would lose subsidies provided under the current syste m, along with protections limit- ing what insurers could charge them before they become eligible for Medicare at age 65 ・ The CBO does dole out some praise for the plan. Premiums for S01 e Americans, especially people in their 20S , would decline. Another upside: The federal government would end up saving $ 337 billion over the next nine years. The Trump administration didn't wait for the report t0 start attacking the C B O. Mick Mulvaney, for example, was a U. S. representative 仕 om South CaroIina until earlier this month, when he was confirmed by the Senate as Trump s direc- tor ofthe Offce of Management and Budget. ln Congress, Mulvaney was a leading conservative backbencher, a member ofthe Tea party and the Freedom Caucus WhO Often criticized Speaker of the House PauI Ryan for being insuffciently hard-line. But as OMB director, Mulvaney heaped praise on the Trumpcare bill, which Ryan's championing ・ He has also pushed back against some Of hiS conservative allies WhO oppose the plan, but he saved his disdain for the 工 S R A E L 当 @mattizcoop MATTHEW COOPER BY NEWSWEEK 12 APR 比 07 , 2017
Newsweek AP R I L 0 7 , 2 017 / v 0L . 1 6 8 / N 0 . 12 ー N T E R N AT ー 0 N A L 十 POOL PLAYERS: Ben Carson, center left, speaks with President DonaId Trump at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, FIorida, a resort Trump has called his "Winter White House. ” を 、よ義第一宝 23 NetherIands The Dutch Touch N E W W 〇 R L D Cybercrime A FingerTip to the Wise 50 Tattoos lnk Wellness 48 W E E K E N D 54 lnterview Studio Swine 58 Books Raymond Pettibon; Richard Deacon; Alan McMonagle 60 The PIace to Be Banff, Alberta Screening Room, Radar Harlots; documenta 14 64 Parting Sh0t Embrace NO. 1 D E P A R T M E N T S F E A T U R E S Breaking Through 24 A radical therapy may heal the deepest layers of the brain— and transform the way we treat the Often untreatable victims of PTSD. 切 M “なん在 , (h ℃ 38 WaII Street's Pink FIamingos ()nce kno 、 vn as a St()P on Americas cocaine high 、 West Palm Beach is quickly turning into a new center of money and power. The reason: President Donald Trump. 切カ田ん McGrath G00 市 7 〃 田 G S H 〇 T S Oga, Japan Squat Team MosuI, lraq ATwist of Caliphate 」 erusalem Spray for Peace 10 Lake EIsinore, CaIifornia Gather Ye Rosebuds 4 6 62 8 ー = : - P Å 0 亡ー 0 ~ N E ーー 12 HeaIth Care Don't Cross the er COVER CREDIT: ILLUSTRATION BY JUSTIN METZ/COREY JACKSON Newsweek (ISSN2052-1081 ) , is published weekly except one week in 」 anuary, 」 u ツ , August and October. Newsweek (EMEA) is published by Newsweek Ltd (part of the 旧 T Media Group Ltd), 25 Canada Square, CanaryWharf, London E14 5LQ, UK. Printed by Quad/Graphics Europe Sp z 0.0. , Wyszkow, Poland ForArticle Reprints, Permissions and Licensing www.旧Treprints.com/Newsweek 16 Egypt NiIe-High Club FOR MORE HEADLINES, GO TO NEWSWEEK.COM 1 N E W S W E E K A P R 比 0 7 , 2 017
What's doubly frustrating for family-planning advocates: The boom was preventable. Until recently, Egyptian authorities appeared tO have a strong population control strategy. From a high Of over 3.5 percent in the 1970S , growth rates fell to 17 percent in the early 2000S. Through a wall-to-wall aware ne S S C amp algn over seve ral decades, which included billboards in poor rural areas and an expanslon 111 access tO contracep- tion, analysts say Egypt appeared close tO resolv- ing its growth problem. But starting in 2008 and 2009 , three years before the uprismg that unseated Hosni Mubarak, Egypt's longtime president, the gov- ernment tried something different. Perhaps complacent after earlier success, Cairo offcials eased their support for various family-planning initiatives. At the same time, international non- governmental organiz ations re ele d in the ir spending, believing they could better deploy those resources elsewhere. Shortly before the 2011 revolution, the growth rate ticked up tO 2.23 percent. After the overthrow Of the regime, that figure leapt t0 2.48 percent in 2011 and 2012. And there was a notable spike in November 2011 , exactly nine months after Mubarak's toppling ・ Some say Egypt's post-Arab Spring baby boom wasn't coincidental: The country 's most dramatic year-on-year population surge came dunng the Muslim Brotherh00d's period in power. Right after pre sident Mohamme d Morsi 's time in offlce, the annual growth rate peaked at 2.55 percent, W1th births in the Brothe rhood's southern strong- holds returning to heights unseen since the 1980S. lslamist lawmakers tabled legislation that would have lowered the legal age 0f marriage from 18 tO 13 , mcreasing the likelihood that women—or, ln some cases, girls—would have babies sooner and thereby undermining a key plank of global population control. Given the Brotherh00d's his- tory ofrefusing tO stock contraceptlves ⅲ the vast network ofclinics it once operated, it's not unsur- prising the group's cadres displayed little interest in resurrecting the birth control media campalgns that had lapsed around the revolution. Family-planning advocates are also frustrated by hOW Sissi, Morsi's successor, has handled the country s population growth. Fixate d on s e curity P A G E 0 N E / E G Y P T threats real and perceived, the ex-general's gov- ernment has pushed a raft 0f anti-NGO laws, which have driven away many foreign orga- nizations, including family-planning provid- ers. ln 1995 , NGOS supplied 10 percent 0f all contraceptives in Egypt, but by last year that fell tO 0.6 percent. A half-decade of chaos and disjointed policies are not easily undone. Between 2009 and 2014 , the number of children young Egyptians deem desirable for a family increased from an average 0f 2.5 t0 3 , according t0 Population Council stud- ies. Contracept1ve availability dropped—to 58 per- cent Of the population, several percentage points belOW the pre-revolutionary average ・ Despite offcials' warnings, Egypt's large pop- ulation doesn t need tO be a burden, demog- raphers maintain. If the young were properly educated, they say, this enormous cohort Of 20-something men and women could easily become a nation-building boon, boosting the economy, much like China's youth bulge. Sissi and hiS semor generals have an impressive array of resources at their disposal, like gold, gas and THERE WAS A NOTABLE SPIKE IN NOVEMBER 2011 , EXACTLY NINE MONTHS AFTER MUBARAK'S TOPPLING. fertile riverside land. But critics say they've mismanaged them, which has compounded the shortages stemming from the country's grow- ing population. After decades Of dictators governing in a shortsighted fashion, much of the damage has already been done. From the enormous desert cement factories, built tO cater tO the building boom, tO the ballooning outer districts of the capital that now almost surround the pyramid complex Of Giza, soaring population numbers continue tO reshape the country. TO Mohsen Samir Mohammed, it seems mconceivable that his corner Of Cairo might accommodate even one more person. Every- where there are people, people, people," he says. Where are we going tO put them?" ロ N E W S W E E K 18 A p R 比 0 7 , 2 017
P A G E 0 N E / E G Y P T NILE-HIGH CLUB Egypt's biggest security threat isn t ISIS or Al-Qaeda. れ people having more and more babies MOHSEN SAMIR MOHAMMED never wanted after three reglme changes in SIX years and in the more than four kids, but as his couslns and throes of food and water shortages, this popula- brothers living down the block in Ezbet Khai- tion boom threatens tO undermine the country s rallah, one 0f Cairo's poorest and most densely already fragile stability. "lt even constitutes a populated districts, welcomed son after son— threat tO national secunty, says Amal Fouad, and even insulted his manhood—the amiable director Of social research studies at CAPMAS, 35-year-01d started t0 wonder: Did he have the state statistics-gathering bOdy. enough children? Annoyed by their taunts, he Nowhere is Egypt's struggle with food more persuaded his wife t0 go 0 birth control. Over evident than in the country's trade and supply the next four years, they added a fifth, sixth and mimstries. Egypt is already the world's largest seventh new member 0fthe family. wheat importer, and as the country s popula- Sitting in the unlit stairwell 0f his building, tion grows, it s going tO have tO import more Mohammed now has regrets. His meager sal- and more fOOd, which it often subsidizes. That's ary from a factory that makes steel shutters is expensive, and it comes as the populous Nile- barely enough to feed his family, which sub- side cities, like Assiut and SOhag, are eating up sists on stewed fava beans and bread. With no more and more precious farmland. SO both the means Of affording even the 15-cent bus rides tO authorities and the country's beleaguered farm- school, his children don't attend. But in a coun- ers feel they've been saddled with an impossi- try where large households have long been the ble task. "More f00d for more people on less norm, M0hammed says he felt powerless to buck land, ” says Bashir Abdullah, a farmer and labor the trend. "My father had many, many children, organizer in Giza, who's been fighting develop- my grandfather had many, many children, and ers encroachment on local fields for a decade. everyone here has many children, ' he says. 'lt's lt's like they think we're miracle workers. not easy tO dO something different. The surge in demand is affecting Egypt's great N0t easy at all. Egypt s population is multiplying river t00. With each person using about 160 , 000 fast. From a little over 66 million at the turn ofthe gallons ofwater per year—98 percent ofwhich is century, it hit almost 93 million earlier this year. drawn 仕 om the Nile—Egypt has been short on If current birth rates hold, demographers proj ect water for a decade. But by 2030 , when the pop- BY that the country 's total will be 150 million by 2050. ulation is forecast tO be near 120 million, that PETER That kind of growth would be a challenge for figure will have dropped below 130 , 000 gallons. SCHWARTZSTEIN almost any state, but for Egypt, politically fragile At a tme when dam construction ⅲ Ethiopia 当 @PSchwartzstein NEWSWEEK 16 APR に 07 , 2017
N E W W 〇 R L D T A T T 0 0 S GOOD SCIENCE C Y B E R C R 工 M E I N N 0 V A T 1 0 N B I R D S T E C H N 0 L 0 G Y E N V I R 0 N M E N T A FINGER TIPTO THE WISE Cyberthieves may be 心 le to steal your prints from phOtOS BY SANDY ONG 十 SHOWOF HANDS: The biometrics industry uses technology such as scanners that can detect if a finger is 「 e and attached to a living person (as opposed tO being a silicone replica 0 「 a hacked-off finger). 当 @sandyong_yx THE PEACE SIGN: lt seems like an IIIIIOCLIOUS, two -finger ge sture, but flashing it in a ph0t0 could get you hacked. ln January, a team from Japan's National lnsti- tute of lnformatics demonstrated how fingerprint data could be obtained from photographs taken W1th a high-re solution digital camera. The cop - ied prints were a near 100 percent match tO the onginal fingerprints—even when the subject was standing up tO 10 feet away. But there's no need t0 pamc Just yet, says AniI Jam, wh0 h01ds six patents for fingerprint recog- nition technology. 。 The chance of that happening is very, very small," he notes. "Everything has t0 be right—the illumination, the distance between the camera and the person, the orientation Of the finger and SO on. The lesson, he says: Every security system has pitfalls, including biometrics. We use finge rprint data tO unlOCk our smartphones and even tO rent ur ff1S e S are scanne OC ers ln a eme par and photographs taken when we travel across borders or enter highly secure bulldings. lt's a trade-off between convenience and security, says Thomas Patrick Keenan, author 0f 〃 0- c 尾 : The S リ″ d Pr ル 40 4 〃右 Ca. が〃 - 0 れ加襯 4 り . 'what I worry about is the fact that you can never change your biometrics. lt's not like your credit card number. ln rece nt ye ars, the biometric s industry has shifted, using technology such as scanners that can detect if a finger is real and attached tO a liv- ing person ()s opposed t0 being a silicone replica or a hacked-offfinger). The Canadian startup Nymi has gone a step further: a wristband that measures your unlque heartbeat pattern, allowing you tO unlock doors, computer terminals and Other authentication t001S with just a tap Ofthe wrist. Still Other com- panies are working on systems that make use Of more unusual biometric identifiers, such as hOW people walk, how they use a keyboard and even the way they smell. flthisneweraofbiometricscamdeliver ・・ the— heightened security it promises, that might be something worth flashing the V-sign for. ロ NEWSWEEK 49 APR 儿 07 , 2017
し A KA VA SINGLE MALT WHISI<Y KavaIan Distillery Reaches Another Milestone VA LAN . 当 K ー NG 。ま 1 W()RIJDSBEST;WHISKY " CAR iVEARS IN NROW 2015 World's Best Single Malt Whisky KavaIan SoIist VINHO Barrique Five-time Winner of the IWSC Trophy for "Spirits Producer of The Year' 、いド E & ゆ 、ド E & 釦 IWSC TROPHY WORLDWIDE WHISKEY PRODUCER OF THE YEAR / Ⅳ 4 ト ASIA PACIFIC SPIRITS PRODUCER 04P 匚 m04 、 0 心当」ッ 04P ミ 04 、 一ミ 04 、 0 、」当こ一多 0 心て N ~ 」 3 一 0 、」て N IWSC TROPHY 2012 IWSC TROPHY 2011 IWSC TROPHY 2015 IWSC TROPHY 2016 2013 / Ⅳヾト Asia Pacific Asia Pacific Spirits Producer Spirits Producer Asia Pacific Spirits Producer / Ⅳ A WORLD WHISKIES AWARDS WORLD'S BEST SINGLE MALT WHISKY 50 靨 T 川凵に 7 住印 55 6 、、、 4 1 い 2016 World's Best Single Cask Single Malt Whisky Kavalan S01ist AmontilIado WORLD WHISKIES AWARDS WORD'S BEST SINGLE CASK SINGLE MALT 2015 No. 1 2016 No. 1 PIease drink responsibly
te stmg, such as the one that can detect muta- tions t0 the BRCAI and BRCA2 genes that indi- cate higher risk for certain types ofbreast cancer, mean 1 れ ore young women are gomg under the knife for prevention. Some say rates 0 prop y ac- tic double mastectomy increased thanks tO what many call the 'Angelina Jolie effect. " ln 2013 , the actress and director went public with her decision tO undergo a preventive mastectomy after learn- ing she carried BRCA mutatlons, and she inspired many other youngwomen W1th higher genetic risk for cancer tO dO the same. Younger ーⅣ 01 れ en can be especially concerned about scar visibility and Often worry the reconstructed breasts will never 100k normal. The solution, perhaps, is t0 make them something entirely different. lt also helps that body art has gone mainstream. Tattoos, like breast cancer, are no longer a tabOO tOPiC. Women find Alle n on the internet but also through P. ink (Personal lnk), a nonprofit founded ln 2013 that matches breast cancer survlvors with tattOO artists whO have expenence with mastec- tomy tattoos. The organization, founded by Noel Franus, started Offas a Pinterest page. Franus has artist whO knows how tO dO this work. lt alS 0 me ans e ncouraging doctors and sur- geons tO be actively involved and make mastec- tomy tattOOS an option in the recovery process. Allen has made inroads to the medical commu- nity. He says he now regularly talks to plastic sur- geons by phone, sometimes even before a patient goes under the knife. The variety ofsurgical tech- nique S can influe nce the quality Of tattOO art, s 0 planning ahead allows the client t0 receive his best work. "I need t0 know as much as possible, he says.'l need to know iftheyhad flap surgery or if the surgeon pulled from the latis simus dorsi. Allen is also highly selective about which clients tO take on and when. For example, he won t work GER WOMEN WORRY N E W W 0 R L D / T A T T 0 0 never had tattoos, cancer or breasts, but he was lnspired after his sister-ln- law underwent breast cancer surgery and began soliciting her family mem- bers for ideas of what she could have tattooed on her new breasts Other than trompe l'oeil nipples. 。 NO one was talking about it online unless you were a huge tattOO enthusiast, says Fra- nus. "You might find one or tWO artists inside the forum, but what about the mother in Topeka or the grandmother WhO lives in rural Texas? ” The tattOO artists that are part of his network do work in-kind on P. ink YO TH T RECONSTRUCTED BR TS WILL NEVER LOOK N M E Days, held once a year in October since 2014. SO far, tattOO shops in 25 cities have participated, and collectively they've inked some 175 breast cancer survlvors. The organization alSO covers the cost Of mastectomy tattOOS on a case-by- case basis and pays the full cost. (Depending on the complexity and scale Of the art, a mas- tectomy tattOO can cost anywhere from $ 200 tO more than $ 2 , 000. ) There are currently 1 , 500 breast cancer survlvors on p. ink's waitlist. The solution tO meet this growing demand, Franus says, IS tO find more tattOO artists mter- ested in the work, especially in Other countries, S1nce many survivors WhO contact the orgamza- tion don't live in the U. S. But getting tattooists rea y or t e tas IS C a engmg ・ e S nee 1 れ ore trained artiStS, says Franus. lt involves sitting down and working side-by-side with an RMAL. THE SOLUTION: KE THEM SOMETHING IRELY DIFFERENT. With a woman unless it'S been a year since her sur- gery. That's not only for medical reasons but also because he has found that survivors are Often not emotionally ready for the process any earlier. Afewyears ago, awoman came tO seeAllen. lt had been several years since she'd had surgery, and she was ready. Allen was preparing t0 apply the stencil on her breasts tO create the outline for her tattoo, but when he began to touch the woman, she started t0 weep. She t01d him her husband had left her because ofher illness, and she hadn'ebeemclose tO a „man in years. Allen stopped his WO ⅸ . lnstead, they sat at his sh0P and talked for two hours. "I wanted to hear her story, he says. wanted her tO know that the e motion•hewasfeeliwwasmoreåmport than getting a tattOO. ” The client returned three months later for her tatt. ロ NEWSWEEK 53 APR 比 07 , 2017
ン・滝 THE PLACE TO BE ark, Canada C01 ! 型 y. , 巨 res itscolors for free EWLANDSCAPES on Earth middle ofthe Rocky Mountains (and Canada's first designated national are more be autifulthan 味、。、。、第、。、 = the colors. park) t0 W00d Buffa10, a UNESCO Thelakés are World Heritage Site ⅲ northeast almost fake blue. Boreal ests flow AIberta that's larger than Switzerland. in waves 0fdeep viridian g en as high The vastness and extreme nature Of Canada's topography—the Gre at Lake s as the tree line, where the temperature drops t00 low for pine, )arch (and many thousands ofsmaller ones), tO grow. Above, gray mountain e the expansive prmr ・ S and mountain iced white with snow. ln fall, the mmits—are the rks' sl:gnature. NO 。。 , , 。 4 peopletround 中。 world vermilion ofmaple leaves sets the timé'indoors ⅲ front 0f Valleys alight. Throw in the aurora SP number borealis, and you have a veritable comput scree ofvisitor n psychedelic trip. The wildlife is just as colorful. increasedby millio Some conservati01iiSt,? are ncem d From caramel-furred martens tO that more visitors equål more 019 面 1 yellow-spotted salamanders, ruby- throate d hummingbirds to the dusky harm. TO divert attention awayfrom great-horned owls, Canada has an has published a list ofwhatit calls abundant diversity ofspecies. Many Ofthe country's national parks have "hidden gems. ” These include the Mingan Archipelag0' achain 0f active conservatwn programs for the ir ildlife, and at a 'time when m 明 y ・ - ~ ーーーー - ー ~ ・一 = ー ~ ー。 ' ; : : limestone islands set ⅲ the vivid blue ofthe GulfofSt. Lawrence, and the species are facing recovery tawny Alaskan mountains 0f lvvavik€ success stories feel extra good. Throughout 2017—Canada's 150th Just choose your COlor. ¯LUCYJONES N birthday—these colors come for free with no charge for admission t0 all the country national p arks. There are 46 in total, ranging from Banff' ⅲ the 学 FO 「 free entry throughout 2017 (parking and camping extra), see PC.GC.CA NEWSWEEK 61 APRlL07, 2 017
House s much larger OMB. No longer would the legislative branch have tO rely on the executive branch's economic assessment ofthe effects that le islation mi ht have. ln the 43 years since, the CBO has become a widely respected institution. lts director is appointed by congressional leaders, sometimes Democrats, sometimes Republicans. A few of the most distinguished economists in Washing- ton have run it, including Alice Rivlin, a Demo- crat, its first director and later an acclaimed head of the OMB, as well as Douglas Holtz-Eakin, arguably the top Republican economist today. TO be fair, presidents and even members of Congress have ripped int0 the CBO before. June O'Neill, who ran the offce in the 1990S under House Speaker Newt Gingrich, used t0 get chewed out regularly by Gingrich, whose wrath was made worse by the giant model ぉ既 head in his 0 伍 ce. "I have a folder of all the times he threatened to fire me, but he never did and was usually very gracious, says O'Neill, whom I worked for in the 1980S. Obama and BiII Clinton both took issue with the way the CBO scored their respective he alth care plans. But no one in the White Hous e ever questioned whether the CBO was "capable" 0f scoring bills, as Mulvaney did. What the CBO surmised about the Trump health care plan will set the parameters for the debate over the coming months. That's true even ifthe bill undergoes a rewrite, which seems likely, since the measure is being attacked by all Democrats and big chunks ofthe GOP. (Conser- vative Republicans feel it t00 closely resembles Obamacare, while Democrats and moderate Republicans worry about poorer Americans los- ing their coverage under the plan. ) The CBO's trenchant analysis gets at the basic problem ofhealth care under America s uniquely crazy quilt ofpublic money and private insurance. The Republican plan set out to do a few things: lower lnsurance premums, provide more ChOice tO consume rs and keep, if not exp and, insurance coverage with much less regulation and federal spending. But the CBO report essentially says the GOP has failed. By dramatically scaling back the expansion 0f Medicaid—an integral part 0f Obamacare—it le 代 millions of p eople unable to afford health care, the report shows. The Repub- lican plan offers tax credits based on age t0 help people buyinsurance, but that's not nearly enough tO compensate for the Medicaid cuts and the e as- ing ofregulations that limited what insurers could char e 01der Americans. The result: A typical 64-year-01d would pay an astounding $ 13 , 000 more each year on health insurance 2026 under the GOP plan than he would under Obamacare. Younger Americans d0 better. Under the Republican plan, they d no longer be required t0 buy insurance, and ifthey buy it, they can get the kind of catastrophe-only, high-deductible plans Obamacare prohibited. By 2026 , a typical 21-year-old would be paying much less for insur- ance, on average. When you throw in Other ele- ments 0f the Republican plan—eliminating the mandate for larger employers to provide health lnsurance , scrapping the surtaxe s on the rich th at helped pay for Obamacare and so on, you get this: The wealthy get a huge tax break, younger people make out better, older Americans pay more, and the lower middle class gets screwed. Estimating health care costs isn t an exact SC1ence, and there are unanswered questlons about the ramifications of the GOP's plan. DO insurers leave certalll markets? DO young peo- ple flee the system after Congress repeals the WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN IF TRUMP TRIES TO CONVINCE THE WORLD IRAN IS CHEATING ON THE NUCLEAR D EAL? individual mandate? The CBO doesn't know for sure. But its record on the AffordabIe Care Act was strong, according tO a report from the Com- monwealth Fund, a nonpartisan think tank. And it's still the best oddsmaker in Washington for this kind ofgame. ¯All health care plans create wlnners and losers, and if the ℃ B O is rightj=Trumpcare 's lose rs will include many Of the president's voters. Rather than trymg t0 significantly change its the White House seems content tO bully the math ner S on D Street. But W en ran 1 れ a goes nuts because her premmms explode, the nerds may have their revenge. ロ P A G E 0 N E / H E A L T H C A R E N E W 5 W E E K 15 A P R 比 0 7 , 2017